Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.884777 2.167658 2.478630 2.845882 3.267841 3.737612 4.300515
2025-06-08 1.460930 1.823753 2.256091 2.809403 3.499207 4.331548 5.413433
2025-06-15 1.255760 1.682828 2.228460 2.977113 3.978845 5.274919 7.082859
2025-06-22 1.063010 1.516856 2.133619 3.033759 4.316166 6.081353 8.703158
2025-06-29 0.892288 1.346997 2.000098 3.007583 4.526094 6.735784 10.208357
2025-07-06 0.732370 1.163419 1.814353 2.870224 4.545058 7.108275 11.348210
2025-07-13 0.664258 1.105884 1.804243 2.990659 4.963183 8.125507 13.609512
2025-07-20 0.611635 1.063433 1.809002 3.131046 5.426934 9.269511 16.231631
2025-07-27 0.559856 1.013562 1.792619 3.230321 5.830585 10.360810 18.911513
2025-08-03 0.507024 0.953370 1.748869 3.272959 6.136584 11.317168 21.478413
2025-08-10 0.443494 0.864183 1.640686 3.181794 6.183230 11.809231 23.251046
2025-08-17 0.382323 0.770539 1.511246 3.031221 6.093834 12.030624 24.525982
2025-08-24 0.343182 0.716119 1.452397 3.016219 6.279608 12.828694 27.109875
2025-08-31 0.304505 0.657175 1.376862 2.957339 6.369524 13.451290 29.434232
2025-09-07 0.291603 0.650324 1.406343 3.121542 6.949400 15.158625 34.318438
2025-09-14 0.269971 0.621384 1.385323 3.173639 7.294065 16.414031 38.398737
2025-09-21 0.244241 0.579500 1.330402 3.142045 7.446511 17.267951 41.693107
2025-09-28 0.213558 0.521718 1.232019 2.996187 7.313687 17.457400 43.452631
2025-10-05 0.204286 0.513568 1.246797 3.120523 7.841182 19.255203 49.380702
2025-10-12 0.196871 0.508881 1.269067 3.266178 8.441595 21.309284 56.258774
2025-10-19 0.187455 0.497781 1.274149 3.369245 8.949125 23.203111 63.009735
2025-10-26 0.175724 0.478982 1.257400 3.413423 9.309978 24.773811 69.141104
2025-11-02 0.158473 0.443002 1.191680 3.318155 9.284981 25.335485 72.604424